Estimating Early-Stage Unicorn Potential Based on ARR and Growth Trajectory

🦄 U = A × G × 5

Unicorn startups (companies valued over $1B) remain rare outcomes in venture investing, especially when investing at the earliest stages. While more startups than ever are reaching $1B valuations, the probability for any given young company is still very low. This report outlines a framework to estimate the likelihood that an early-stage startup (pre-se…